GestaltU with Logan Mohtashani on the “Savagely Unhealthy Housing Market”

 Logan is one of the foremost experts on the state and health of the U.S. housing market. In his capacity as Lead Analyst for HousingWire, he invokes a comprehensive data-driven framework for understanding the fundamental drivers of housing supply and demand.

Logan demonstrated his expertise on the subject, bringing to bear data and analysis from a variety of sources and perspectives. The housing market is extremely complex with many agents and feedback effects. Logan’s insights into the motivations and risk management tactics of homebuilders were especially interesting. We discussed whether private sector incentives are likely to alleviate a chronic housing shortage and concluded that agents rarely have the right incentives to seek equilibrium between supply and demand.

Logan believes sufficiently high interest rates on mortgages will curtail demand and slowly bring supply onto the market to ease price growth, but it will be slow, and a pivot in rates may spur a renewed surge in demand. There are few easy options and it’s hard to see how the housing crisis will be resolved any time soon.

 

Hosted by Adam Butler of ReSolve Global*

 

*ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority