Episode 232

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Published on:

26th Jun 2025

Mark Valek: Reimagining the 60/40 Portfolio, Hard Assets, Bitcoin as Digital Gold & Asset Allocation Strategies

In this episode of ReSolve Riffs, host Mike Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo welcome Mark Valek, partner at Incrementum AG and co-author of the acclaimed In Gold We Trust report. Mark, a seasoned macro investor with decades of expertise at the intersection of gold, monetary policy, and systemic risk, offers deep insights into the evolving roles of gold and Bitcoin. The discussion covers a diverse range of topics including macro investing, fiscal dominance, central bank gold accumulation, innovative portfolio allocations, and the emergence of Bitcoin as digital gold.

Topics Discussed

• Gold as a superior store of value with a stable stock-to-flow ratio

• The impact of central bank gold accumulation amid global financial uncertainty

• Fiscal dominance, counterparty risks, and the influence of geopolitical tensions

• Future gold price scenarios and detailed long-term predictions under varying inflation conditions

• The evolution of Bitcoin as a digital alternative to traditional gold

• Reimagining the classic 60/40 portfolio with an emphasis on hard assets

• Practical investor guidance on asset allocation strategies and risk management

Mentioned in this episode:

The Return Stacking Symposium

October 8, 2025 | Chicago A full day of curated portable alpha / return stacking education. Register Here: https://www.returnstacked.com/return-stacking-symposium-2025/

Transcript
odcast with Mark Valek - June:

[00:00:00] Mark Valek: So as a gold holder, I think the main advantage is you can be very certain that you are not going to be diluted by new gold, which is coming into circulation, right? And this gives gold a high stock to flow ratio or a low inflation rate, however you want to put it. The one is just the inverse of the other. In other words, gold is not valuable because there is necessarily such a limited amount of it, such a small amount of it, I should say.

There are rare earths, which are much less of them are available, but that does not mean necessarily that they are worth more. But gold is so interesting as a store of value because its amount is so constant, so you can really know it is basically the same amount going around this year as it will be next year - not a hundred percent, but one, one and a half percentage points.

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Mark brings decades of experience in macro investing asset allocation with a unique focus on the intersection of gold and monetary policy, as well as systemic risk. This year's 2025 edition is entitled The Big Long, and it explores everything from fiscal dominance to Central Bank Trust to Gold's evolving role as a reserve asset and even Bitcoin's growing role here.

So there is also a re-imagining of the 60/40 portfolio with the role of gold and Bitcoin in the new regime playing an expanded role. Mark, it is great to have you with us, and from the perspective of the paper, can you elaborate on The Big Long?

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This is a little bit of an inverse, the idea that actually a long position on gold is probably going to, in our view at least, be a very profitable trade, if you want to look at it like that. But it is actually, in our view, obviously much more than just a trade. It is like a systemic rediscovery of gold as a reserve asset.

I would put it in those terms, because of everything we have been seeing in the last years. The dollar-based system is being eroded. The trust in it is slowly being eroded with a lot of things which have been happening. This is really our message to investors, since we are also asked a lot of times, the gold price has risen so much, what should we do? It is probably at the end of its road.

If you look at our cover, the road is relatively long still, but it is also a little bit bumpy. It is not like a straight road. It is not a highway. It is nothing that we are expecting. But what we wanted to point out is we do think that this bull market has a lot of ways to go, because as I said, in our view, the re-monetization, which is a difficult term, we can talk about that perhaps, but the rediscovery of gold as an asset, in systemically, has started, in our view.

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[00:04:20] Mark Valek: I would say the most evident or obvious indication of that is if one looks at central banks. We know that central banks have been buying gold and accumulating gold actually already since 2009 at a relatively slower pace, when it comes to the years 2009-2022. I think the average accumulation was somewhere between 300-400 tons during these years, but in 2022, something was kicking in. If one looks at the purchases, they blew off to over 1000 tons a year, so basically, 3X. They have been in this ballpark consistently the last three years.

Probably the occurrence, what actually happened was, in our view at least, the sanctions, the sanctioning of Russian assets in this conflict, when it came to the war in Russia, obviously the world saw this, because if you take the standard wisdom, and even I think it is part of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) body, if you take the CFA exam, you get to learn what is the riskiest asset and you have to actually tick off the box.

U.S. Treasuries are the riskiest asset. For a lot of people in the world, it became evident that they are not riskless anymore. So if you are politically perhaps not best friends with the U.S., then perhaps counterparty risks are, you should reevaluate your counterparty reasoning. I think the world has been doing this, and again, it shows up in central bank purchases, first and foremost.

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[00:06:47] Mark Valek: Yeah, I guess it is not the only factor, but I think that the jump does have to do with the sanctions. As one can see, I think the first moment of distrust was when the system was questioned around the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) or in the aftermath of the great financial crisis in 2009-2010. Back then, counterparty risk also became a topic since we had some banks failing, at first at least.

which has been going on since:

The Soviet Union had broken down in 1991, and the U.S. had a great run in the nineties, even had some surpluses from the fiscal side at the end of the nineties. So the dollar was really king at the end of the nineties, no competitor, and gold was flat. Nobody had interest in gold. That was also basically where you had the lowest gold price. A lot of things have changed since then, fiscally and geopolitically.

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[00:09:09] Mike Philbrick: It really was a watershed moment. We have had conflicts globally, but no one has ever seized the reserve asset of another nation during a conflict. That moment in time caused everyone to stop and say, if the U.S. Treasuries, the reserve asset, they know where all the Treasuries are held, because they are the issuer of those assets. If we do something that is not agreed to or isn't liked by the U.S., then all of a sudden our Treasury becomes at risk for confiscation.

Gold has that one asset where it is not a counterparty risk to anybody else. When you hold a bar of gold that is yours. Now, paper gold is another topic, but a pretty significant watershed moment.

Then you have fiscal dominance following that up, Mark, and I wonder if you have some comments on that or thinking into how this bleeds into other areas for demands for gold. I would love you to touch on the initial conditions we have, i.e., where are we starting from, an allocation perspective across portfolios generally.

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I think also as a part of this reality, U.S. financial institutions still own the largest pools of capital and therefore are very important for price discovery for all kinds of markets, but gold being one of them. They have not been participating in this rally.

I think this is also very important to explain, and that is a very good chart that you are pulling up, to explain this discrepancy between all kinds of performance, of performance, gold. We include gold miners, but also silver. Both of these assets were relatively not performing that well in the recent bull market.

Why? Because that bull market has been a central bank-driven bull market, and typically silver, but also mining equities, are marginally bought by western financial investors. Again, they have not participated yet. I think it is just noteworthy and referring to this graph, this is the new Gold Playbook, what we called it last year, our last year's leitmotif.

We wanted to highlight that the relationship between the real interest rates, in this case it is also the exchange-traded fund (ETF) holdings, the charts look very similar, has broken, right? ETF holders, which are, ETF purchases are typically, in the west are typically Western financial institutions. They always were, the last two decades at least, have been the marginal buyer of gold.

e been holding something like:

Again, this goes back to my argument, they did not see any need, if you look at the right-hand of the chart, any need to increase their gold holdings. Actually, they sold when the interest rates started to rise again, whereas the price just started to soar.

Then, and so again, I think this is quite a good confirmation of our argument, why what has happened. It has been a central bank-induced bull market, which I think explains why performance-called gold, as we call it, has lagged, and which also I think one can conclude if Western investors join the party, then we are going to see performance gold to make up some underperformance. I think this may have started during the last weeks.

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Here you got gold and precious metals at around one percent versus all other asset classes, so that cohort has not woken up to the utility of gold so far. It is fascinating to me, but you are starting to see some pick-up.

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There is this lag period between where you actually get some interesting cash flows, and now you are seeing those growth numbers in some gold stocks too that are pretty substantial, largely based on the gold price coming through in their profits. You are seeing the capital flow that way too. Just if you look at the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) or the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ), the ETFs in North America that represent them. You see some outperformance finally in the last month or two.

It does seem like your thesis is on point Mark, that the North Americans are joining the party slowly but surely, and I think you mentioned in the report, you feel we are in middle innings on this in the sense of a baseball analogy.

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Obviously, we have been talking about this rediscovery of gold as an asset class, which has been much more prominent at the level of central banks. Now it is slowly perhaps starting in the West of financial scenes again. What is still unknown and you actually asked me about that, Mike, just before the question before, what is going to happen with the fiscal situation, fiscally dominance?

We really do not know where this is heading. It doesn't really look as if it would change anytime soon. We had a brief moment of reconsideration of looking at what is going to happen with DOGE.

You have already put up the slide here. One can say one thing about the administration, but what they did do for the first time, I think ever, at least the last 50 years, they actually addressed the point of the unsustainability of the fiscal situation, and that is quite significant.

If you just think, last, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen just said everything is fine and no problems, nothing to see here. The officials actually pointed out very clearly, or at least they did. That was quite an interesting moment.

At the end of the day, one has to think about why is the gold price rising at all? The gold price is rising because there is more inflation being produced in terms of more monetary units, monetary inflation in order to basically reflate the economy or inflate away the debt. This is the typical structure of this step-based monetary system.

The really fundamental question which one has to ask oneself is, is the fiscal path sustainable or not? Obviously it has not been sustainable for the last decades, but as I just said, they were at least addressing this point and talking about changing the path, but it does not look like as if there would be close to substantially changing the path. As long as we do not see a change in this momentum, we really do not know how long the bull market for gold can last.

There are a lot of factors which we do not know about the future, but we can say these factors are steady right now, and that is why we assume that there is still a lot of upset.

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Even as you look at the bill and explore what they have done in terms of solar and the like, they are making it more difficult to have cheap energy in the United States with the exception of trying to drill, baby drill, which is yet to be seen how they are going to accomplish that. If they are able to unlock that, then all bets are off, and who knows what is going to happen to gold, right?

If they unlock a ton of efficiency and I think everything has to be, most of efficiencies can be driven by cheap energy costs, but that is an unlikely scenario in my view. Certainly going, austerity is not going to be something that the administration is going to do.

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We have a very strong gold price. The other thing in the real current domain is people will say, or have said, it is up a lot. That is fair, but we are going through a moment of consolidation. It is consolidating those gains. If you are someone who has been thinking about allocating, this is the time to start actually giving yourself some time to allocate to an asset, as it digests a little bit of the gains it has had over the last year or so.

I just think it is a bit of a sweet spot where you are still early enough, where you can garner the gains. We often approach it, Mark, from the perspective of the unique asset class to the portfolio. Gold just brings such a unique orthogonal angle to a portfolio of more commonly accepted assets. It always makes a lot of sense and how you accommodate it and get into the portfolio, that is a bit of a long story, but it generally always makes sense to have some gold.

I just feel like we are going through those three phases of truth. If you go back to Gandhi, truth passes through three stages. First it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed, and then third, it is self-evident. The ridicule was back away where people, why would you ever buy gold in that period where the U.S. dominance was so strong, the U.S. dollar was very worthwhile.

It has been through this opposition. Why would I hold it? What are the reasons? Then eventually it is going to be self-evident. When it is self-evident that it should be 10, 15, or 20 percent of your portfolio, the price is going to be pretty high.

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[00:23:56] Rodrigo Gordillo: Sorry to interrupt, but I did want to take a quick second to remind listeners that while we absolutely love providing our audience with world-class guests and weekly investment insights, we wanted to remind you that we actually do our best work outside of this podcast. We try to do this by providing cutting-edge, globally diversified, and systematic investment strategies that are designed to be broadly non-correlated to traditional equity and bond portfolios. We manage private and public funds, as well as bespoke separately managed accounts for investors that seek the potential to smooth out portfolio returns in the long run. If you do want to see that theory that we have been talking about put into practice, please do go ahead and check us out at www.investresolve.com. Now back to the podcast.

Mark, why don't you walk us through this chart here? There is this chart and the one next that talks about the path dependency, but tell us about how you guys are thinking about the different scenarios.

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Therefore, we made some kind of long-term predictions, or at least we tried to quantify a model where we calculated different scenarios and then the weighting of these scenarios, we assessed how likely are each of those scenarios.

ar time horizon, for the year:

We had two good decades, which were the 70s and the 2000s, which were quite good decades for the gold price. During the other decades, it basically had sideworld markets or bear market in the case of the 80s.

In the long term, we estimated the rate of the monetary supply growth. That was one factor. The other factor was the implicit coverage ratio of gold, so how high basically, or to what extent will gold be basically covering the monetary base. That is a function of two things, again, of the amount of gold the central bank has, and the gold price if you mark it to market. That is how we calculated it at least.

We had different scenarios and the one thing, the average scenario was $4,800. We are now above basically the path to $4,800. We were below the path, but now we are above the path. This is the dark blue line, which you can see this is the path which it would need to take to get there. One of these scenarios was an inflationary scenario, like the 70s, a very good environment for the gold price, due to inflation/stag-inflation.

If we see such a scenario once more in this decade, we said back then that the target will be considered considerably higher, something like $8,900, in that range. What has been interesting in that regard is we saw quite significant inflation in the first half of this decade, but the problem, at least statistically speaking, became resolved or was not so bad in the last year, so inflation rates at least came down. Obviously that doesn't mean that prices came down, just the rate of increase of these prices came down.

It was at one point quite significant, close to 10 percent, even in the U.S. something like eight or nine percent or so in this range, but it came down to three percentage range again.

In our view to really, and a similar thing actually happened in the 70s. We had the one wave in the big, in the first half, and the second inflation wave in the second half of the 70s. In order to qualify as an inflationary decade, we would need a second wave of inflation. I think that is totally possible.

In fact, it is quite likely, in our view. If we will have a second wave of inflation in the second half of this decade, I think this decade will go down as an inflationary decade, even though right now it is not perceived as this yet, and then we feel very confident with our bullish price scenario at close to $9,000.

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[00:31:27] Mark Valek: We also looked at the max drawdowns during each of these decades, especially during the bullish decades, because our premise is that we are in a bull market, obviously, and even bull markets have drawdowns. During the last two bullish decades, we had drawdowns between 20-30 percentage points, more than 20 percent, and in one case in the 70s, at one point actually 50 percent drawdown, which is quite severe.

If that ended the bull market and the new one started in the second half, that is statistically question how you want to define the bull market. The point being 20 percentage points of drawdown, definitely something which one should expect, even if one is bullish.

Just to give investors some kind of an overview, where that would put us, from the last all-time high, that would be $2,800 basically if we fall 20 percentage points from the last all-time high, which is totally possible. We do not know if it does fall that low.

The one strategy which I think in any case makes sense probably, is to average-in and to average-out by the way, as well. Averaging-in will help you to get a little bit of a better average price. The other help is psychologically, because if you pinpoint your entry point on one specific point in time. you always, if it doesn't, if the market doesn't go the way you want, you will question this decision.

If you kept some power and average-in, you have a lot of power in both cases. If it rises, you didn't do it wrong, because you put something in already. If it falls, you have enough power to average down your price. That really helps you to be more comfortable with the position, to some extent.

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Not a lot of people have intuition for how this asset class functions in different ways when compared to, let us say, stocks and bonds and how it responds to inflation and potentially deflation. As an allocator, I think I echo Mark's advice there. Take your time, make an allocation and then rebalance that allocation.

Also maybe you sin a little because you feel you are in a bit more of a bull market and you let that allocation run up, gives you a profit cushion and allows you to add more at a potential time down the road to continue to complement those traditional asset classes that people are so over invested in, from stocks and bonds to even private equity, private credit to some degree.

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We have learned the discount value mechanism. We are getting yields on bonds and cash, but gold doesn't offer any of that. How should we help allocators think about gold as a diversifier, gold as an asset class, given that it doesn't offer much on cash flows? In fact, it probably costs a little in terms of storing and carry costs.

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If one looks at the Austrian School of Economics perspective, money basically evolves in an economy where you have the division of labor. The demand for a medium of exchange occurs once the economy produces supply, output which is greater than its consumption. You need to store some of your excess production and you need a medium of exchange, which keeps account of these excess production accesses.

Greenspan, which he wrote in:

In a market, in a competition process, precious metals won the race due to their characteristics. Perhaps the most important and oftentimes underlooked factor is the stable stock-to-flow ratio, especially for gold. The stock-to-flow ratio is the inverse of the inflation rate, or the growth rate of the gold. The stock is all gold stock, above ground stock. That would be the 220,000 tons of gold, which I refer to. The flow would be 3000-3,500 tons roughly, which is being produced every year. If you divide these two numbers, you get 1.5 percentage points inflation rate.

As a gold holder, I think the main advantage is you can be very certain that you are not going to be diluted by new gold which is coming into circulation. This gives gold a high stock to flow ratio or a low inflation rate. However you want to put it, the one is just the inverse of the other. In other words, gold is not available because there is necessarily such a limited amount of it, such a small amount of it, I should say.

There are rare earths, which are, much less of them are available, but that does not mean necessarily that they are worth more. But gold is so interesting as a store of value because its amount is so constant, so you can really know it is basically the same amount going around this year than as it will be next year. Not 100 percent, but one, one and a half percentage points.

This rate was very, it has been extremely stable over the last 150 years, where we have the data. Going back further, it is a little bit difficult to assess the exact data. Most of the gold has been produced recently, basically in the last hundred years because, even one and a half percentage points adds up.

ns, the turn of last century,:

It is no one else's liability. We talked about that as well. This again, I think is a very important prerequisite for real money. You want money to be an asset. You want the money not to be in another man's liability.

This is why gold has such great characteristics for money, and this is also the reason going back to your initial question, why it actually doesn't have to pay interest. If you think about the alternative investments, and one shouldn't, in our view at least, directly compare gold as money or as a non-fire money store of value with productive assets like bonds or stocks.

In these cases, if you lend money to a government, as we also discussed already, there is always risk involved. There is a counterparty risk involved if you give some money to an entrepreneur. If you invest in a stock, there is a risk involved. That is why there is a justification for a compensation for this kind of risk. If you do not have any counterparty risks, you can make the argument, you are not entitled for yield.

If you have the cash in your pocket, you also do not get any interest. You only get it if you put it in the banks and then you are already taking risk again, right?

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[00:43:00] Mark Valek: Correct. Gold is money. I think gold is the natural money or it has very good characteristics of money. That is the reason why central banks hold it. At the end of the day, and it is a great Greenspan quote, “in times of extremists, gold will always be accepted”. They know to recapitalize the system, they need an asset, which is no one else's liability, which is not inflatable. That is why they hold it, because it is the real money.

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[00:43:50] Mark Valek: It is funny because gold is an emotional topic because of these topics which we already have been talking about, which these concepts are not so widely thought of in the financial world and the monetary system also not such a big topic of the typical investor.

With Bitcoin, this is even in my experience, more controversial, more emotional when it comes to Bitcoin, relative to gold even. That is a good transition to Bitcoin because, building on what I just laid out, Bitcoin was designed obviously with a lot of knowledge about the evolution of money.

They were very conscious of the problem of this debt-based monetary system. They also knew about the gold advantages, but they actually try to improve gold, even in the sense that there is not even this 1.5 percentage points inflation, but at the end of the day, zero inflation. This is a big part of Bitcoin's appeal, its absolute scarcity.

That is a concept which one has to think about harder than one may think initially, because it is really a new concept for humans. There hasn't been an asset which has been absolute scarce, at least not the fungible one.

Obviously we have art pieces, unique art pieces. There is only one Mona Lisa and so on. You cannot, definitely can use Mona Lisa as money because there is only one, right? You need fungible money to tick off all the boxes for the requirement of money. Bitcoin brings along fungibility, but it brings along absolute scarcity also.

This is the first time that we have been confronted with such an asset, which in digital asset, which again, makes it difficult for a lot of people to wrap their heads around it. You cannot touch it, so it is perhaps less intuitive as gold because if you touch this gold, you get some kind of a sense of value. It has something mystically to it. I think for most people that is the case, but you have none of that with Bitcoin.

It is really the scarcity argument which is important. We have done all kind of comparisons between gold and Bitcoin. Bitcoin has advantages relative to gold as money. I would definitely say that, but it also has disadvantages. It has been discovered also as an alternative store of value. One can best compare it with gold. It is not the perfect comparison, but it, people who invest in Bitcoin have similar motivations, as people who invest in gold.

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The reality is that society has accepted gold is a medium of exchange, is a store of value. Every major economy has some gold. Most individuals, in one way or another are backed to buy gold because they live in the country that owns gold. Now we have Bitcoin that has a similar characteristic.

The question is, what are the blind spots of both gold and Bitcoin? I think they generally tend to complement each other. It is an interesting use case here. As Bitcoin becomes more and more adoptive though, what are you guys trying to tell us here with this chart?

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We are somewhere at over 2 trillion dollars, all the Bitcoin market capitalization, so roughly a ratio of one to 10, or in other words all world's gold is worth 10 times as much as all Bitcoin, which are currently produced. In both cases, we know more exactly how the exact supply will be in the future. In gold's case, we know it pretty good.

We estimate that the gold exploration in, of the next five years plus our price targets of $4,900, let us call it $5,000. That would bring gold's market cap up to $38 trillion, almost 2X still from here, not quite.

Bitcoin, if one looks at the relative ratio, we can see that the market cap has been growing much faster in Bitcoin, but it also has been growing much more volatile. The ratio has been going from coming from zero basically, and moving up two percentage points, roughly, with a lot of drawdowns, and I want to point out that the right-hand scale is logarithmic, which the drawdowns don't seem so significant, but there was quite significant obviously. The logarithmic scale shows this increase nicely.

Also it shows a small decrease of this increase, the rate of return being far greater with Bitcoin, but it has been coming down slightly over the years. We basically extrapolated this trend. Our estimation is Bitcoin will keep growing faster than gold. We think gold will keep growing, Bitcoin will keep growing faster.

This is a numbers game to be honest, but we picked a number of 50 percentage points. We could imagine that at the end of the decade, coming from 10 percentage points market cap, where we are currently roughly, we may end at 50 percentage points market cap, in terms of Bitcoin to gold market cap ratio.

That brings you to quite high numbers. This is also this table we included for everybody to plug in their own expectations, but with these two numbers, so 50 percentage points market cap and a price of $5,000 at the end of the decade, that leads you to very high six-digit prices, in five years' time, which is bullish, which is optimistic.

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[00:54:02] Mark Valek: When, I always witness that these two assets are nearly all the time being mentioned in the same discussion. That is also what we do as an asset management company.

In:

You can do it on a single level where you can basically adjust the composing of this hard asset block as you see fit, or you can do it in a combined way. That is what we offer basically, where we do the rebalancing for our clients where one can also have the advantage of a derivative overlay, which then by the way, makes it possible to earn some yield. We solve the yield problem also in that regard.

This is going into this direction of the last sentence. People like Ray Dalio who are very highly regarded, especially among asset management managers, he represents the king of strategic asset allocation. He is referred as a hedge fund manager, but I think the real USP was the combination, the structuring of the portfolios at Bridgewater, what they do. Anyway, he also said, “I like my gold with sprinkles of Bitcoin on it”. He also sees these two assets as in one bucket. That is what I took away from that comment. Slowly but steadily moving into this kind of direction.

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[00:56:51] Mike Philbrick: We have got maybe five minutes left. Do you want to talk a little bit about how you guys reimagined the 60/40 through the context of a new regime and gold and silver stocks, or is there another topic that you would like to hit?

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That makes sense from a risk adjusted perspective, but especially during a time horizon where you have falling interest rates or disinflation, which basically comes with each other, because you have typically the bond part of the location which profits when you go into recession, and the equities when you have growth. You have slightly negative correlation between these assets in general, and both of them produce yields.

If you add them up, you have a superior risk adjusted return profile, and that is what is mostly about in asset management, right? We see that interest rate trajectory has hit zero. Now we are rather seeing a bull market in interest rates, in other words, a bear market in bonds, something similar to the 70s, and that is awful for this combination.

We saw that in:

These kind of portfolios are very much endangered. That makes an argument to reconsider especially the bond component of this portfolio, which we did, and find substitutes for bonds. This is going on especially with gold. Gold, I think to some extent has been substituted and we see this as a trend.

Also another argument in favor of gold, I think, typically if you have a few percentage points at all at maximum in your conventional multi-asset portfolio, one can make the argument also from a risk point of view, since it is so unique, the asset, and it doesn't have a counterparty risk.

If one takes into consideration the whole return distribution, you do not have a black swan event with gold. Obviously the price can fall, but you do not have a sanctioning event where you are something that, and there, I also think it is advantageous to Bitcoin. You have potentially some technical problems, which I think the risk is pretty low also. I would say it is not zero, right?

You have different asset classes, but especially in bonds, you have left end probability, which would be very bad if that happens, and you do not have that with gold. That perspective gives you a great argument to increase your gold portfolio significantly because you do not incur some kind of a black swan event with gold generally.

We tried to structure a new 60/40 portfolio accordingly. We increased the 60 percent, what is typically the equity portion. We put in all the bonds and all the equities in 60 percent so that we ended up with 45 percent equities and only 15 percent bonds, which brings it to 60. The 40 percent in our new 60/40 portfolio is a hard asset, basically non-inflatable assets.

We have got a chunk of security gold in there, but we have got some performance gold, mining equities in there. We have got a small slice of commodities in there, and also a small slice of Bitcoin in there. We come up with a hard asset block of 40 percent. We are of the opinion that this is going to outperform the conventional 60/40 portfolio.

So this, I think is an unconventional allocation currently, but it is not so far from my personal allocation. We practice what we preach and so far for this decade, this has been doing very well. I think the dynamics are in place for this portfolio to keep up performing. There are risks with every asset class, with every strategy, but we are convinced that is a good way to go.

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[01:03:49] Mike Philbrick: Given the regime, sounds like a sound plan.

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[01:04:29] Mark Valek: Our fund business can be found at Incrementum.lI. That is our homepage here in Liechtenstein.

We have our In Gold We Trust Report at ingoldwetrust.report, and everybody can subscribe, can download, without subscription. We keep it very open.

Personally, we have a Twitter feed InGoldWeTrust, which is quite active. We can be found on these sources. If anybody has a question can drop me an email.

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[01:05:16] Rodrigo Gordillo: Thank you Mark. Really appreciate your time and the hard work that you guys put in on this. We will hopefully have you back again when gold hits $5,000. If anybody has any questions, you can go to those two websites and contact Mark and team directly. Thanks again for your time.

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[01:05:42] Mike Philbrick: Thanks all.

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Resolve Riffs Investment Podcast
Welcome to ReSolve Riffs Investment Podcast, hosted by the team at ReSolve Global*, where evidence inspires confidence.
These podcasts will dig deep to uncover investment truths and life hacks you won’t find in the mainstream media, covering topics that appeal to left-brained robots, right-brained poets and everyone in between. In this show we interview deep thinkers in the world of quantitative finance such as Larry Swedroe, Meb Faber and many more, all with the goal of helping you reach excellence. Welcome to the journey.


*ReSolve Global refers to ReSolve Asset Management SEZC (Cayman) which is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as a commodity trading advisor and commodity pool operator. This registration is administered through the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Further, ReSolve Global is a registered person with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority.